FX Alerts

The Swiss distortion

08/08/12 @ 09:32 GMT by Michael Derks, Director de Estrategia


Not getting enough attention in dispatches on currency market developments is the incredibly distorting impact represented by the unlimited purchases of foreign exchange being undertaken by the SNB. Last month, the stockpile of FX reserves at the SNB jumped by more than 11% to CHF 406.5bn, more than 70% of Swiss GDP. Over the past year, reserves have more than doubled; since early 2009 they have risen nearly ten-fold.

This explosive growth in reserves has aided all of the major currencies - including the euro - which would no doubt be much lower without the buying power of the SNB. The SNB has also bestowed its largesse on other majors such as the dollar, the Japanese yen (much to the chagrin of the MoF), the CAD, the pound and now the Aussie. Within Switzerland, it is worth noting that the economy is still experiencing deflation despite an abundance of liquidity, in part because the expensive exchange rate acts as an impediment to imported inflation.

Tags: CHF

Disclaimer: This material is considered a marketing communication and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice or an investment recommendation or, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee of or prediction of future performance. FxPro does not take into account your personal investment objectives or financial situation. FxPro makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplied by any employee of FxPro, a third party or otherwise. This material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements promoting the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice. Any opinions made may be personal to the author and may not reflect the opinions of FxPro. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without the prior permission of FxPro.

Risk Warning: Contracts for Difference (CFDs), which are leveraged products, incur a high level of risk and can result in the loss of all your invested capital. Therefore, CFDs may not be suitable for all investors. You should not risk more than you are prepared to lose. Before deciding to trade, please ensure you understand the risks involved and take into account your level of experience. Seek independent advice if necessary.

FxPro UK Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (previously FSA) (Registration no. 509956). FxPro Financial Services Ltd is authorised and regulated by the CySEC (licence no. 078/07).

live chat